{"id":11443,"date":"2021-06-09T12:12:00","date_gmt":"2021-06-09T04:12:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg?post_type=market_trends&#038;p=11443"},"modified":"2021-07-06T15:31:59","modified_gmt":"2021-07-06T07:31:59","slug":"a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers","status":"publish","type":"market_trends","link":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/market_trends\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ee5\u592a\u6027\u80fd\u9a71\u52a8\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u5b9a\u91cf\u7814\u7a76"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aErik Norland\uff0c\u829d\u5546\u6240\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u65c5\u7a0b\u59cb\u4e8e 2009 \u5e74\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u6bcf\u679a\u786c\u5e01\u6700\u521d\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u7ea6\u4e3a 1 \u7f8e\u5206\u3002 2010 \u5e74\u8fbe\u5230 $1\uff0c\u6b64\u540e\u5728\u4e00\u6bb5\u975e\u51e1\u7684\u65c5\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5347\u81f3 $64,000\u3002\u5176\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u98de\u901f\u4e0a\u6da8\u4f34\u968f\u7740\u5f02\u5e38\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u4ef7\u683c\u98d9\u5347\u975e\u5e38\u5267\u70c8\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u5728\u5bf9\u6570\u56fe\u8868\u4e0a\u89c2\u5bdf\uff0c\u4f46\u88ab\u4e09\u4e2a\u6df1\u5ea6\u718a\u5e02\u6253\u65ad\uff1a2010 \u5e74\u548c 2011 \u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc 93%\uff0c2013 \u5e74\u548c 2014 \u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc 83%\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca 2018 \u5e74\u548c 2019 \u5e74\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u56de\u843d\u7684 82%\u3002\u4ece\u9ad8\u70b9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7ea6 50%\u3002 &nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6ce2\u52a8\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5176\u5b8c\u7f8e\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u65e0\u5f39\u6027\u3002\u65e0\u8bba\u4ef7\u683c\u8d70\u5411\u4f55\u65b9\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u91cf\u90fd\u4ee5\u5927\u81f4\u76f8\u540c\u7684\u9884\u5b9a\u901f\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff08\u56fe 1\uff09\u3002&nbsp;<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 1\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u5b8c\u5168\u6ca1\u6709\u5f39\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u4e14\u4f9b\u5e94\u7684\u589e\u957f\u968f\u7740\u65f6\u95f4\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u800c\u653e\u7f13<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers-fig01.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u66b4\u8dcc\u59cb\u4e8e 4 \u6708\u5e95\uff0c\u5f53\u65f6\u4ef7\u683c\u8fbe\u5230\u6bcf\u679a\u786c\u5e01 $64,000 \u5de6\u53f3\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u76d8\u4e2d\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u8dcc\u81f3 $30,000 \u7684\u4f4e\u4f4d\u3002\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u8ff9\u8c61\u8868\u660e\u5176\u6700\u8fd1\u7684\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4ee5\u4e0b\u662f\u4e09\u4e2a\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\uff0c\u53ef\u5728\u540d\u4e3a blockchain.info\/charts \u7684\u7f51\u7ad9\u4e0a\u514d\u8d39\u83b7\u5f97\uff0c\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u53d1\u73b0\u5b83\u4eec\u5f88\u6709\u7528\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u6bcf\u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\uff1a\u5c3d\u7ba1\u81ea 2009 \u5e74\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\u9996\u6b21\u4eae\u76f8\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4f46\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e4b\u524d\u7ecf\u5386\u4e86\u4e09\u4e2a\u718a\u5e02\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e86 93%\u300183% \u548c 82%\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u718a\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u6bcf\u4e00\u4e2a\u90fd\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u201c\u6bcf\u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u201d\u98d9\u5347\u4e4b\u540e\u3002\u6839\u636eblockchain.info\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53bb\u5e74\u5e74\u5e95\u6bcf\u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u6210\u672c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u4ece\u6bcf\u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u7ea6$25\u589e\u52a0\u5230\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6b21\u4fee\u6b63\u4e4b\u524d\u7684$250\u6216\u66f4\u591a\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u4e8610\u500d\u3002\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u7684\u718a\u5e02\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u76f4\u5230\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u4e0b\u964d\u5e76\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4e00\u6bb5\u65f6\u95f4\u540e\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u7684\u725b\u5e02\u624d\u518d\u6b21\u5f00\u59cb\uff08\u56fe 2\uff09\u3002<br><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 2\uff1a\u52a0\u5bc6\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u672c\u4e0a\u5347\u662f\u5426\u9884\u793a\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u718a\u5e02\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers-fig02.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\" start=\"2\"><li>\u6bcf\u65e5\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\uff1a\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u548c\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e4b\u95f4\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u5e76\u4e0d\u603b\u662f\u5f88\u6e05\u695a\uff0c\u4f46\u81ea 2013 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7684\u589e\u52a0\u6709\u65f6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u9884\u793a\u7740\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u800c\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7684\u505c\u6ede\u6216\u4e0b\u964d\u6709\u65f6\u4f1a\u51fa\u73b0\u5728\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e4b\u524d\u3002\u6700\u8fd1\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u6570\u91cf\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u4e0b\u964d\uff08\u56fe 3\uff09\u3002<br><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 3\uff1a\u5728\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4ea4\u6613\u7ecf\u5e38\u505c\u6ede\u6216\u4e0b\u964d<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers-fig03.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\" start=\"3\"><li>\u8fd9\u8868\u793a\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u94f8\u9020\u65b0\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6240\u9700\u7684\u8ba1\u7b97\u6b21\u6570\u3002 2010 \u5e74\uff0c\u4e00\u53f0\u8ba1\u7b97\u673a\u53ea\u9700\u6267\u884c 10 \u6b21\u8ba1\u7b97\u5373\u53ef\u751f\u4ea7\u4e00\u679a\u786c\u5e01\u3002\u4eca\u5929\uff0c\u5b83\u5e73\u5747\u9700\u8981 25 \u4e07\u4ebf\u6b21\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002\u8fd9\u610f\u5473\u7740\u73b0\u6709 1870 \u4e07\u4e2a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff0c\u751f\u4ea7\u5269\u4f59\u7684 230 \u4e07\u4e2a\u786c\u5e01\u5c06\u662f\u8ba1\u7b97\u5bc6\u96c6\u578b\u548c\u6602\u8d35\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u4f1a\u589e\u52a0\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u9700\u6c42\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u770b\uff0c\u5b83\u4f1a\u9650\u5236\u65b0\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\uff08\u56fe 4\uff09\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u201c\u96be\u5ea6\u201d\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6316\u77ff\u751f\u4ea7\u6210\u672c\u7684\u4ee3\u8868\u3002\u8bb8\u591a\u5546\u54c1\u96be\u4ee5\u5c06\u4ef7\u683c\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u5176\u751f\u4ea7\u6210\u672c\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e00\u6982\u5ff5\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u6765\u8bf4\u6709\u70b9\u6a21\u7cca\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4eba\u4eec\u5e76\u4e0d\u50cf\u9700\u8981\u7389\u7c73\u3001\u94dc\u3001\u6728\u6750\u6216\u77f3\u6cb9\u7b49\u5546\u54c1\u90a3\u6837\u201c\u9700\u8981\u201d\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u3002<br><\/li><\/ol>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 4\uff1a\u4e0d\u65ad\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5f00\u91c7\u96be\u5ea6\u662f\u5426\u4e3a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6491\uff1f<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-ether-performance-drivers-fig04.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u4f1a\u5bf9\u66f4\u5e7f\u6cdb\u7684\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d44\u4ea7\u9886\u57df\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u667a\u80fd\u5408\u7ea6\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u3002\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u65e2\u4e0e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\uff08\u56fe 5\uff09\uff0c\u53c8\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u66f4\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\uff08\u56fe 6\uff09\u3002\u501f\u7528\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u884c\u8bdd\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f7f\u5f97\u4ee5\u592a\u6210\u4e3a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u9ad8\u8d1d\u5854\u7248\u672c\u3002\u5f53\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u4e0a\u6da8\u66f4\u591a\u3002\u5f53\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u8dcc\u65f6\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 5\uff1a\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u548c\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4e00\u76f4\u9ad8\u5ea6\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u81ea 2018 \u5e74\u4ee5\u6765<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-fig05.jpg\" alt=\"\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 6\uff1a\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\u5f80\u5f80\u6bd4\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u8fd8\u8981\u5927<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-fig06.jpg\" alt=\"a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-fig06\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5947\u602a\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u4e0d\u50cf\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u90a3\u6837\u53d7\u5230\u9650\u5236\u3002\u4f7f\u7528\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\uff0c\u53ea\u4f1a\u751f\u4ea7 2100 \u4e07\u679a\u786c\u5e01\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u7ea6 1870 \u4e07\u679a\u5df2\u7ecf\u5b58\u5728\u3002\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u521b\u5efa\u7684\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u603b\u6570\u6ca1\u6709\u9650\u5236\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4efb\u4f55 12 \u4e2a\u6708\u5185\u53ea\u80fd\u521b\u5efa 1800 \u4e07\u4e2a\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u3002\u4eba\u4eec\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u60f3\u8c61\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u7075\u6d3b\u6027\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6291\u5236\u5176\u6ce2\u52a8\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6070\u6070\u76f8\u53cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u65b0\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4e0e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u5e74\u5ea6\u521b\u9020\u6bd4\u7387\u4f3c\u4e4e\u9075\u5faa ETHBTC \u6c47\u7387\u3002\u5f53\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u5c31\u50cf\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728 2017 \u5e74\u548c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u6837\uff0c\u8fd9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u4f1a\u6fc0\u52b1\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9884\u5b9a\u6570\u91cf\u7684\u65b0\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u521b\u5efa\u989d\u5916\u7684\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\uff08\u56fe 7\uff09\u3002\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\u65b0\u7684\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u4f9b\u5e94\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u5728\u5f88\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u63a8\u52a8\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u5bf9\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u505a\u51fa\u4e86\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u56fe 7\uff1a\u5f53 ETHBTC \u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u5b83\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u6fc0\u52b1\u989d\u5916 ETH \u7684\u521b\u9020<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sgwp-content\/uploads\/2021\/07\/a-quantitative-look-at-bitcoin-fig07.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"720\" height=\"500\"\/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4ee5\u592a\u574a\u667a\u80fd\u5408\u7ea6\u7f51\u7edc\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\uff0c\u4ee5\u592a\u5e01\u53ef\u80fd\u6bd4\u4e3b\u8981\u7528\u4f5c\u4ef7\u503c\u50a8\u5b58\u7684\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5177\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5b9e\u9645\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u4f46\u6bd4\u7279\u5e01\u5728\u52a0\u5bc6\u8d27\u5e01\u4e16\u754c\u4e2d\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u7740\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u7684\u5148\u53d1\u4f18\u52bf\u3002 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