{"id":41757,"date":"2025-08-20T17:23:01","date_gmt":"2025-08-20T09:23:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/?post_type=market_trends&#038;p=41757"},"modified":"2025-08-20T18:13:44","modified_gmt":"2025-08-20T10:13:44","slug":"strong-momentum-seen-in-the-sgx-msci-singapore-futures","status":"publish","type":"market_trends","link":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/market_trends\/strong-momentum-seen-in-the-sgx-msci-singapore-futures\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong Momentum Seen In The SGX MSCI Singapore Index Futures"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\r\n\r\n<\/span><\/p>\r\n<p><strong>In Total Returns, as of 19 August Market Close:<\/strong><br \/>STI: +15.79% YTD<br \/>SiMSCI: +21.59% YTD<br \/>FTSE ST All-Share (Top 98% by market cap): +15.59% YTD<br \/>FTSE ST Mid Cap: +9.99% YTD<br \/>FTSE ST Small Cap: +20.35% YTD<br \/>\u00a0<\/p>\r\n<p>SGX MSCI Singapore Index Futures hit fresh records last month after it climbed to an 18-year high of 444.26 on 13 August (not too far from the all-time high of 481.23 on 10 October 2007). Strong investor confidence and rising institutional demand fuelled an 18% MoM jump in open interest, reaching an all-time peak of US$7.1B.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<h3>What are the key drivers for the Singapore Index Futures?<\/h3>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Singapore equities stand out as an<strong> attractive safe haven,<\/strong> with the SiMSCI having a <strong>dividend yield of 3.86%.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Reciprocal tariffs of 10% are low\u00a0<\/strong>compared to Asian peers.<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Valuations:<\/strong> The SiMSCI is currently trading below the 5-year average of 18.0x LTM P\/E, at 16.4x <strong>(-8.9% discount).<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li>Companies are becoming <strong>more aggressive in returning capital to shareholders via higher payouts and share buybacks.\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li>Crucially, the <strong>planned S$5bn to be spent on Singapore equities by MAS\u2019s equity market development programme (EQDP) <\/strong>should be beneficial for our local stock market.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<h3>Where are the prices headed?<\/h3>\r\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-41759\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1252\" height=\"467\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1.png 1252w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1-300x112.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1-1024x382.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1-768x286.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-1-18x7.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1252px) 100vw, 1252px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>\u6211\u4eec <strong>price target for the SiMSCI Index by Dec-2025 is near the 123.6% extension level at 480<\/strong>. We see immediate resistance at 450, which if breached, could see the index push further upwards towards our year-end price target.<\/p>\r\n<p>The SiMSCI Index stands out with its exposure to international-listed constituents like <strong>Sea (18% of index)<\/strong>\uff0c \u548c <strong>Grab (3.5% of index). <\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p>Hence, in terms of factor tilt, as seen below, the SiMSCI Index has noticeably higher exposure to growth and volatility compared to the STI.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-41761 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1246\" height=\"399\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2.png 1246w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2-300x96.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2-1024x328.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2-768x246.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-2-18x6.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1246px) 100vw, 1246px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p>In terms of sector exposure, the SiMSCI has a lower allocation to Real Estate, namely S-REITs, than the STI.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-41760\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1244\" height=\"419\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3.png 1244w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3-300x101.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3-1024x345.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3-768x259.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/08\/SiMSCI-20-Aug-3-18x6.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1244px) 100vw, 1244px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<h3>Equity Market Review:<\/h3>\r\n<p><strong>Singapore\u2019s 3 local banks <\/strong>all reported compressed Net Interest Margins (NIM) in 2Q2025, as a lower 3-month SORA weighed on interest income.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>As of 20 August, the 3M-SORA continued to slide down to 1.69%, the lowest since September 2022.<\/li>\r\n<li>We expect the 3M-SORA to continue declining as Fed rate cuts are expected. With market participants pricing in a <strong>84% likelihood of a 25bps rate cut in the 17 September FOMC meeting.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li>Nevertheless, lower rates led to an increase in Singapore loan growth (May25: 5.83% vs Apr25: 4.5%).\u00a0A surge in trading activity also boosted non-interest income (NOII).<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><strong>\u661f\u5c55\u94f6\u884c<\/strong> announced that its 2Q net profit rose 1% to S$2.82 billion, beating estimates of S$2.79b.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Net interest income was higher on strong deposit growth while fee income and treasury customer sales rose to their second-highest quarterly levels.<\/li>\r\n<li>The bank declared an ordinary dividend of S$0.60 per share and a capital return dividend of S$0.15 per share for the period. This brings the quarter\u2019s total dividend payout to S$0.75 per share, up from S$0.54 in the year-ago period.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>UOB&#8217;s<\/strong> Q2 net profit fell by -6% YoY, as net interest income eased on lower margins.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Declared an interim dividend of S$0.85 per share for 1H25, a decrease from S$0.88 in the year prior.<\/li>\r\n<li>In addition, a second tranche of UOB\u2019s S$0.50 per share special dividend will be paid out to shareholders.<\/li>\r\n<li>Net interest income for the quarter fell 3%, as net interest margin declined 14bps to 1.91%, down from 2.05% the year before.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>\u534e\u4fa8\u94f6\u884c<\/strong>\u2019s Net Income beat estimates, driven by a jump in fee income, which offset a decline in interest income.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Net income fell -6.6% to S$1.8b (vs est of S$1.78b). Net interest income -6% YoY, Non-interest income +5.4% YoY.<\/li>\r\n<li>Net interest margin (NIM) fell to 1.92%, down by 28bps YoY, due to a faster drop in loan repricing rates in SG than decreases in deposit rates.<\/li>\r\n<li>Nevertheless, wealth management fees rose by 32%.<\/li>\r\n<li>Management lowered the 2025 guidance for NIM as interest rates decline.<\/li>\r\n<li>Bank also cut its interim dividend to 41 cents a share, down from 44 cents last year<\/li>\r\n<li>Remains committed to previously announced S$2.5b capital return which includes a special dividend amounting to 10% of FY25 net profit and share buybacks over 2 years, to be completed in 2026.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p><strong>POSITIVE: <\/strong>We believe banks can withstand NIM compression from the steepening yield curve and higher CASA levels.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Dividend yield of ~5.7% is attractive as capital return initiatives continue in FY25 and share buybacks improve ROE &amp; EPS.\u00a0<\/li>\r\n<li>A beneficiary of the trade war has been trading volumes, with YTD 2025 volumes up ~24% YoY.\u00a0<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p><strong>BBG 12M Price Target:<\/strong> 1) DBS S$51.87 | 2) UOB S$37.69 | 3) OCBC S$17.72<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Grab-ADR (BBG 12M Price Target:<\/strong> <strong>$6.10)<\/strong> topped estimates on strong demand for ride-hailing and delivery services.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>2Q Revenue rose 23% to $819m, above consensus estimates of S$812.2m, despite tough competition from Indonesia&#8217;s GoTo (GoJek).<\/li>\r\n<li>Deliveries Revenue S$439m, vs estimate S$432.4m<\/li>\r\n<li>Mobility Revenue S$295.0m vs estimate S$293.2m<\/li>\r\n<li>Financial Services Revenue S$84.0m vs estimate S$82.8m<\/li>\r\n<li>Management sees full-year revenue at S$3.33b to S$3.4b.<\/li>\r\n<li>This comes amid speculation that Grab is looking to acquire GoTo.<\/li>\r\n<li>The company is currently expanding to autonomous technology, collaborating with South Korean vehicle Technology provider Autonomous A2Z Co.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Sea Ltd-ADR (BBG 12M Price Target:<\/strong> <strong>$196.95)<\/strong> \u00a0saw 2Q results beat estimates as Shopee raised the commissions it charges merchants by about a third since the start of last year.<\/p>\r\n<ul>\r\n<li>Shopee&#8217;s fees are higher than rivals like TikTok and Lazada, but merchant retention is still high thanks to a broad user base and well-established delivery network&#8211; handled by its logistics arm, SPX Express.<\/li>\r\n<li><strong>Crucially, we believe Shopee has an advantage over rival TikTok as users typically open the Shopee app with a clear intent to purchase, whereas TikTok usage is more discovery-driven and less transaction-oriented.<\/strong><\/li>\r\n<li>Revenue +38% YoY to $5.26b vs est of $5.01b.<\/li>\r\n<li>E-Commerce (Shopee) showed strong growth with 29% increase in orders to $3.3b and 28% GMV growth to $29.8b, citing higher commissions and ad revenue.<\/li>\r\n<li>Digital Financial Services (Monee) saw revenue grow 70%.<\/li>\r\n<li>Gaming (Garena) saw 23% bookings growth.<\/li>\r\n<li>All 3 segments now EBITDA positive since 2H last year and generating cash<\/li>\r\n<li>Management raised guidance for Garena, expecting booking to grow over 30% YoY in 2025.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Add these bubbling Singapore market opportunities into your watchlist now!<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\"><strong data-start=\"2585\" data-end=\"2631\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/promotion\/trade-sgx-asian-index-futures-from-as-low-as-0-98\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-41399 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px-1024x536.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"419\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px-1024x536.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px-300x157.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px-768x402.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px-18x9.png 18w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/SG60-SiMSCI-1200-x-628-px.png 1200w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/a><br \/><\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\">Trade the SGX MSCI Singapore Index Futures at only S$1.38 on Phillip Nova 2.0 now! <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/promotion\/trade-sgx-asian-index-futures-from-as-low-as-0-98\/\"><strong>\u7acb\u5373\u4e86\u89e3\u8be6\u60c5\uff01<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\">Or take a view via Singapore stocks, or explore opportunities in ETFs via the Phillip MSCI Singapore Daily (2X) Leveraged ETF (LSS) or the <br \/>Phillip MSCI Singapore Daily (-1X) Inverse ETF (SSS) now! <a href=\"https:\/\/accountopening.phillipnova.com.sg\/?aeCode=3TGroPiC9Ej99gm97ckHCs9fHJMF0b&amp;source=Stocks_Product&amp;utm_source=Market%20Trends&amp;utm_medium=Article&amp;utm_campaign=SGXIndices&amp;utm_content=PFSG\"><strong>Click here to open an account now!<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\r\n<p data-start=\"2585\" data-end=\"2809\">\u00a0<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-group is-layout-flow wp-block-group-is-layout-flow\">\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Trade CFDs, ETFs, Forex, Futures, Options, Precious Metals, and Stocks&nbsp;on NOVA<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-28f84493 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:66.66%\">\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<h4 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Features of trading on NOVA<\/h4>\n\n\n\n<div style=\"height:20px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>\u8bbf\u95ee 20 \u591a\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u6240 <\/strong><br>\u4ece 20 \u591a\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\u7684 200 \u591a\u4e2a\u5168\u7403\u671f\u8d27\u4e2d\u6355\u6349\u673a\u4f1a<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>\u5168\u7403\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u673a\u4f1a<\/strong><br>Over 11,000 Stocks and ETFs across Singapore, US, China, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Japan markets.<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Charting Powered by TradingView<\/strong><br>View live charts and gain access to over 100 technical indicators<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>True Multi-Asset Trading<\/strong><br>Trade CFDs, ETFs, Forex, Futures, Options, Precious Metals and Stocks on a single ledger on NOVA<br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>USD &amp; SGD Shares Margin Rate at Only 4.5% p.a<\/strong><br><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Fractional Shares from US$1<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Start investing in fractional shares from US$1 notional value, at US$0.38 commission per order.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis:33.33%\">\n<div style=\"height:65px\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"wp-block-spacer\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-fill\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color has-background wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/demo.phillipnova.com.sg\/?utm_content=PFSG&amp;culture=zh-CN\" style=\"border-radius:4px;color:#fffffa;background-color:#fba64d\">Free NOVA Demo Account<\/a><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-outline is-style-outline--1\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/open-an-account\/\" style=\"border-radius:4px;color:#fba64d\">\u5feb\u901f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u5728\u7ebf\u5f00\u6237<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Watchlist Worthy: Singapore Stocks Flying Under the STI Radar<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":41763,"template":"","class_list":["post-41757","market_trends","type-market_trends","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Strong Momentum Seen In The SGX MSCI Singapore Index Futures - Phillip Nova - Bringing global markets closer to you<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Watchlist Worthy: Singapore Stocks Flying Under the STI Radar. 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