{"id":44377,"date":"2025-12-22T10:52:02","date_gmt":"2025-12-22T02:52:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/?post_type=market_trends&#038;p=44377"},"modified":"2025-12-22T10:52:02","modified_gmt":"2025-12-22T02:52:02","slug":"cycles-of-boom-and-bust-a-technical-review-of-wti-crude-oil-2009-2025","status":"publish","type":"market_trends","link":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/market_trends\/cycles-of-boom-and-bust-a-technical-review-of-wti-crude-oil-2009-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Cycles of Boom and Bust: A Technical Review of WTI Crude Oil (2009\u20132025)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\r\n\r\n<\/span><\/p>\r\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>\u4f5c\u8005\uff1aPhillip Nova \u9500\u552e\u603b\u76d1 Eric Lee<\/strong><\/span><\/h5>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-large wp-image-44378\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001-1024x651.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"800\" height=\"509\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001-1024x651.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001-300x191.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001-768x488.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001-18x12.png 18w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/image001.png 1506w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">The trajectory of WTI Crude Oil since 2009 has been defined\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0extreme volatility, characterized\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0distinct periods of consolidation followed\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0violent\u00a0<span class=\"mark5el261leb\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">market<\/span>\u00a0corrections. The attached monthly chart highlights three major technical phases, revealing a recurring pattern of &#8220;wedge&#8221; formations leading to significant price capitulations.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Phase 1: The 2014 Collapse (-$80 Move)<\/b><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">Following the recovery from the 2008 financial crisis, oil prices entered a period of consolidation between 2011 and 2014. The chart highlights a narrowing formation (indicated\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0the first set of orange trendlines), where volatility compressed as the\u00a0<span class=\"mark5el261leb\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">market<\/span>\u00a0decided on a direction.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">In mid-2014, this support broke, leading to a massive capitulation. As annotated on the chart, this breakdown resulted in a\u00a0<b>-$80<\/b>\u00a0decline, dragging prices from over $100\/barrel down to the $26 range\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0early 2016.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Phase 2: The Rising Wedge and the Negative Oil Crash (-$105 Move)<\/b><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">From the 2016 lows, the\u00a0<span class=\"mark5el261leb\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">market<\/span>\u00a0structured itself into a\u00a0<b>Rising Wedge<\/b>\u00a0pattern (the second set of orange lines). In technical analysis, rising wedges are often bearish reversal patterns, indicating weakening buying momentum despite rising prices.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">This pattern resolved historically in 2020. Triggered\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and a demand shock, price broke the lower trendline of the wedge. The result was a catastrophic\u00a0<b>-$105<\/b>\u00a0drop, which briefly pushed WTI futures into negative territory (approx. -$40) for the first time in history.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Phase 3: The Post-Pandemic Triangle and Critical Support (2022\u2013Present)<\/b><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">Following the V-shaped recovery and the surge to roughly $130 in 2022 (likely driven\u00a0<span class=\"mark94yfh8u7o\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">by<\/span>\u00a0geopolitical tensions and post-COVID demand), the\u00a0<span class=\"mark5el261leb\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">market<\/span>\u00a0has entered a new consolidation phase.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">The current technical structure resembles a large\u00a0<b>Descending Triangle<\/b>:<\/p>\r\n<ul type=\"disc\">\r\n<li class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Resistance:<\/b>\u00a0A downward-sloping trendline connecting the lower highs since 2022.<\/li>\r\n<li class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Support:<\/b>\u00a0A crucial horizontal floor annotated as\u00a0<b>&#8220;Support @ $55&#8221;<\/b>.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">Currently, as of December 2025, WTI is trading at\u00a0<b>$56.23<\/b>, hovering dangerously close to this critical support level.<\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\"><b>Conclusion: A Decisive Moment<\/b><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"x_MsoNormal\">The chart suggests the\u00a0<span class=\"mark5el261leb\" data-markjs=\"true\" data-ogac=\"\" data-ogab=\"\" data-ogsc=\"\" data-ogsb=\"\">market<\/span>\u00a0is at an inflection point. The previous two major consolidations (2014 and 2020) resolved in massive downward volatility. With the price currently testing the\u00a0<b>$55 support<\/b>, technical analysis suggests that holding this level is vital for bulls. A failure to hold $55 could trigger a breakdown similar to the historical drops of -$80 and -$105 highlighted in the previous cycles.<\/p>\r\n<p><strong>Trade Smarter with Phillip Nova<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\">Access the contract directly on the Phillip Nova trading platform\u2014your one-stop hub for trading Stocks, ETFs, DLCs, Structured Warrants, Forex, and Futures. Powered by TradingView, our platform delivers seamless charting across desktop, tablet, or mobile. With over 100+ technical indicators, live price charts, and an advanced Market Depth Trading Tool, you\u2019ll have everything you need to make confident, informed trades.\u00a0 Try it risk-free today <a href=\"https:\/\/demo.phillipnova.com.sg\/?utm_content=PFSG&amp;aecode=ZOK\">\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u6237\u3002<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<h3><strong>\u73b0\u5728\u5c31\u5f00\u59cb<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n<ul class=\"font-size-18\">\r\n<li>\u70b9\u51fb <a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/ZOK_Coach_OAOV2\">\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u6237\u3002<\/a> to open an account now<\/li>\r\n<li>Try a free <a href=\"https:\/\/rebrand.ly\/ZOKNOVADemoReg\">NOVA Demo<\/a> Account<\/li>\r\n<li>Try a free <a href=\"https:\/\/rebrand.ly\/ZOKMT5DemoReg\">\u83f2\u5229\u666e MT5 \u6f14\u793a<\/a> Account<\/li>\r\n<li>Sign up for a free coaching session with Eric Lee <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/1-1-coaching\/eric-lee\/\">\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u6237\u3002<\/a>.<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n<h3 class=\"font-size-18\"><strong>Eric Lee \u7684\u589e\u503c\u670d\u52a1<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>\u6211\u7684\u5ba2\u6237\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u6211\u7684\u670d\u52a1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5355\u4f4d\u4fe1\u6258\u548c\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u54a8\u8be2\u3001\u57fa\u4e8e\u6211\u8fc7\u53bb 20 \u5e74\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u4e2d\u7684\u4e2a\u4eba\u77e5\u8bc6\u548c\u7ecf\u9a8c\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u89c1\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\">Periodically, I will be send out market analysis to my clients, as well as alerting them of support and resistance levels for the technical indicators which I am utilising on a chart. Click on the button at the bottom if you would like to arrange for a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/1-1-coaching\/eric-lee\/\">One-to-One Coaching session<\/a> to learn more about trading futures, forex, stocks and more, and how you can benefit from the services I provide.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-spacer font-size-18\" style=\"height: 65px;\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator\" \/>\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-spacer\" style=\"height: 65px;\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis: 100%;\">\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-columns is-layout-flex wp-container-core-columns-is-layout-9d6595d7 wp-block-columns-is-layout-flex\">\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis: 33.33%;\">\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\r\n<figure class=\"aligncenter size-large is-resized\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"wp-image-12111\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-825x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"211\" height=\"261\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-825x1024.jpg 825w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-242x300.jpg 242w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-768x953.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-1238x1536.jpg 1238w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598-10x12.jpg 10w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/08\/AE-Eric-Lee_Photo-scaled-e1629294461598.jpg 1299w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 211px) 100vw, 211px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-column is-layout-flow wp-block-column-is-layout-flow\" style=\"flex-basis: 66.66%;\">\r\n<p class=\"font-size-18\">Eric Lee \u662f Phillip Nova \u7684\u9500\u552e\u603b\u76d1\u3002\u51ed\u501f\u5728\u671f\u8d27\u3001\u5916\u6c47\u3001\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u5355\u4f4d\u4fe1\u6258\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0cEric \u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u5168\u65b9\u4f4d\u7684\u987e\u95ee\u3002\u65e0\u9700\u82b1\u65f6\u95f4\u68b3\u7406\u65e0\u7a77\u65e0\u5c3d\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u5373\u53ef\u505a\u51fa\u660e\u667a\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a Eric \u53ef\u4ee5\u901a\u8fc7 WhatsApp \u968f\u65f6\u4e3a\u5ba2\u6237\u63d0\u4f9b\u4ea4\u6613\u8b66\u62a5\u548c\u89c1\u89e3\u3002\u51ed\u501f\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u7ecf\u9a8c\uff0cEric \u5728\u4ea4\u6613\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u65b9\u9762\u5236\u5b9a\u4e86\u7cfb\u7edf\u5316\u7684\u7b56\u7565\u3002\u9884\u8ba2\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u514d\u8d39\u8f85\u5bfc\u8bfe\u7a0b\uff0c\u4ee5\u5229\u7528\u4ed6\u7684\u4e13\u4e1a\u77e5\u8bc6\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ed6\u4f20\u6388\u4ed6\u7684\u77e5\u8bc6\u6765\u6539\u5584\u60a8\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u4e4b\u65c5\u3002<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<ul class=\"font-size-18 wp-block-list\">\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/bit.ly\/ZOK_Coach_OAOV2\">\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u6237<\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rebrand.ly\/ZOKNOVADemoReg\">Free NOVA Demo Account<\/a><\/li>\r\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/rebrand.ly\/ZOKMT5DemoReg\">\u514d\u8d39 Phillip MT5 \u6a21\u62df\u8d26\u6237<\/a><br \/><br \/>*\u9002\u7528\u6761\u6b3e\u548c\u6761\u4ef6\uff0c\u8bf7\u8054\u7cfb\u4e0b\u65b9\u7684 Eric \u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\u3002<\/li>\r\n<\/ul>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-spacer\" style=\"height: 35px;\" aria-hidden=\"true\">\u00a0<\/div>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-buttons is-layout-flex wp-block-buttons-is-layout-flex\">\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-button is-style-fill\"><a class=\"wp-block-button__link has-text-color has-background\" style=\"background-color: #fba64d; color: #fffffa;\" href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/1-1-coaching\/eric-lee\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">\u5355\u51fb\u6b64\u5904\u4e0e Eric \u8fdb\u884c\u514d\u8d39\u8f85\u5bfc\u8bfe\u7a0b<\/a><\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>\r\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By Eric Lee, Sales Director, Phillip Nova The trajectory of WTI Crude Oil since 2009 has been defined\u00a0by\u00a0extreme volatility, characterized\u00a0by\u00a0distinct periods of consolidation followed\u00a0by\u00a0violent\u00a0market\u00a0corrections. The attached monthly chart highlights three major technical phases, revealing a recurring pattern of &#8220;wedge&#8221; formations leading to significant price capitulations. Phase 1: The 2014 Collapse (-$80 Move) Following the recovery [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":44379,"template":"","class_list":["post-44377","market_trends","type-market_trends","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Cycles of Boom and Bust: A Technical Review of WTI Crude Oil (2009\u20132025) - Phillip Nova - Bringing global markets closer to you<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Find out why monitoring prices of Copper Futures could help to forecast potential trends in the China A50 Index Futures.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/market_trends\/cycles-of-boom-and-bust-a-technical-review-of-wti-crude-oil-2009-2025\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"zh_CN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cycles of Boom and Bust: A Technical Review of WTI Crude Oil (2009\u20132025) - 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