{"id":46008,"date":"2026-03-25T12:30:41","date_gmt":"2026-03-25T04:30:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/?post_type=market_trends&#038;p=46008"},"modified":"2026-03-25T15:05:09","modified_gmt":"2026-03-25T07:05:09","slug":"dax-outlook-end-of-hostilities-is-crucial","status":"publish","type":"market_trends","link":"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/market_trends\/dax-outlook-end-of-hostilities-is-crucial\/","title":{"rendered":"DAX Outlook: End of Hostilities Is Crucial"},"content":{"rendered":"<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"46008\" class=\"elementor elementor-46008\" data-elementor-post-type=\"market_trends\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section data-particle_enable=\"false\" data-particle-mobile-disabled=\"false\" class=\"ob-is-breaking-bad elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-29983a86 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"29983a86\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ob_bbad_use_it&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;_ob_bbad_sssic_use&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_glider_is_slider&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-1f1a40ab\" data-id=\"1f1a40ab\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ob_bbad_is_stalker&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_teleporter_use&quot;:false,&quot;_ob_column_hoveranimator&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_column_has_pseudo&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-5e4a11de ob-harakiri-inherit ob-has-background-overlay elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"5e4a11de\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_ob_use_harakiri&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;_ob_harakiri_writing_mode&quot;:&quot;inherit&quot;,&quot;_ob_postman_use&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_perspektive_use&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_poopart_use&quot;:&quot;yes&quot;,&quot;_ob_shadough_use&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_allow_hoveranimator&quot;:&quot;no&quot;,&quot;_ob_widget_stalker_use&quot;:&quot;no&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><em>Analysis courtesy of Eurex.<\/em><br \/><br \/><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-46010 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1668\" height=\"851\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026.png 1668w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026-300x153.png 300w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026-1024x522.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026-768x392.png 768w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026-1536x784.png 1536w, https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/DAX-25-Mar-2026-18x9.png 18w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1668px) 100vw, 1668px\" \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"overflow-hidden p3691 wrap-default bg-white\">\n<div id=\"c52270\" class=\"xframe frame-default default xp-0 \t\t\t\t\tframe-type-textpic\t\t\t\t\tframe-layout-0\t\t\t\t\tcontainer\">\n<div class=\"ce-textpic ce-center ce-above\">\n<div class=\"pt-3  media-body\">\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Oil prices are rising again, while (almost) everything else is falling: stock prices, bond prices\u2014and even gold and silver. The \u201csafe havens\u201d are failing.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><br \/>Hopes for a swift end to the war in Iran are fading. \u201cThe mullah regime in Tehran appears willing to do anything in its fight for survival, while the White House had underestimated its resistance and apparently has no Plan B,\u201d notes Berndt Fernow of LBBW.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The conflict has recently escalated: On Saturday night, U.S. President Trump threatened to destroy Iran\u2019s energy facilities if the country did not reopen the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours. Iran responded by threatening to completely close the vital strait. \u201cReopening the Strait of Hormuz is one thing; repairing destroyed production facilities, terminals, and refineries is another,\u201d explains Fernow. The financial markets therefore expected a noticeable rise in inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Gold price nears the $4,000 mark<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>A barrel of Brent crude is trading at $114 on Monday morning; before the outbreak of war, it was around $70. Stocks continue to fall: The DAX slipped below 22,000 points on Monday morning after closing at 22,380 points on Friday. The Stoxx Europe 600 is also continuing its downward trend. U.S. markets closed with losses again on Friday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The trend in precious metals is striking: a troy ounce of gold now costs just $4,200. At its all-time high in January, it was still $5,570. The price of silver\u00a0has halved to its current level of $62 from its record high of nearly $122. The strong U.S. dollar and expectations of rising interest rates are making precious metals less attractive. Bitcoin has not continued its recent recovery and has slipped back below $68,000, also nearly half its record high.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u201cThe global economy could still get off with a slap on the wrist\u201d<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe longer the conflicts persist and the longer oil prices remain at significantly elevated levels, the more severe the dampening effects on the real economy will be,\u201d notes Markus Reinwand of Helaba. In addition to price effects, supply chain disruptions could occur. However, the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index does not yet show any abnormalities. The fluctuations in shipping stocks, which serve as leading indicators, have also been manageable so far. \u201cSo it is still possible that the global economy will get off with a slap on the wrist.\u201d With the latest corrections, the markets have indeed priced in a more realistic scenario. However, according to Reinwand\u2019s assessment, there hasn\u2019t been much room for positive surprises yet. \u201cAt present, there is still no truly attractive entry opportunity.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Failed to hold support levels<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201cTimes are more turbulent than they have been in a long while,\u201d comments technical analyst Christoph Geyer. The DAX has recently fallen sharply below the support zone that had held for months. The next support level it has now reached is not particularly robust. \u201cA lasting improvement in the situation can only be expected once the fighting comes to an end.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As for earnings season, second- and third-tier companies will be reporting their results for the fourth quarter of 2025 this week, including Salzgitter, Dr\u00e4gerwerk, Jenoptik, Hornbach, CTS Eventim, and Cewe.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Key Economic and Business Data<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Wednesday, March 25<\/p>\n<p>10:00 a.m.\u00a0<strong>Germany: ifo Business Climate Index for March.<\/strong>\u00a0Given the war in Iran and the sharp rise in energy prices, anything other than a significant decline in the ifo business climate\u2014and particularly in business expectations\u2014would be a major surprise, according to Commerzbank.<\/p>\n<p>Thursday, March 26<\/p>\n<p>8:00 a.m.\u00a0<strong>Germany: GfK Consumer Climate Index for March.<\/strong>\u00a0According to DekaBank, consumer sentiment will be shaped by developments in the Middle East. In response to growing fears of a loss of purchasing power, the GfK Consumer Climate Index for Germany is likely to decline.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><strong>Take a view on the European Markets with Phillip Nova now!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"font-size-18\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/promotion\/trade-micro-dax-and-micro-euro-stoxx-50-futures-at-eur1-50\/\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Trade-the-DAX-Euro-STOXX-50-at-just-EUR1.50-1024x289.png\" width=\"1024\" height=\"289\" \/><\/a><br \/>\u4ee5 1.50 \u6b27\u5143\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4ea4\u6613 Micro-DAX\u00ae \u548c Micro-EURO STOXX 50\u00ae \u671f\u8d27*\u3002\u4e86\u89e3\u66f4\u591a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.phillipnova.com.sg\/cn\/promotion\/trade-micro-dax-and-micro-euro-stoxx-50-futures-at-eur1-50\/\">\u7acb\u5373\u5f00\u6237\u3002<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<!-- \/wp:spacer --><!-- wp:block {\"ref\":12668} \/-->\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>DAX Outlook: End of Hostilities Is Crucial<\/p>","protected":false},"featured_media":46018,"template":"","class_list":["post-46008","market_trends","type-market_trends","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.3.1 - 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