Breaking down the latest trends and catalysts across Gold & Silver, the US, Singapore, and China markets.
🌟 Gold & Silver: A Wild Ride for the Record Books
Between January 24 and February 4, 2026, the precious metals market went on a historic roller coaster. After reaching “never-before-seen” highs, both gold and silver suffered a sudden “Flash Crash” before showing signs of a steady recovery.
📊 Performance at a Glance
| 产品 | Jan 24 (Starting) | Jan 29 (Peak) | Feb 2 (Crash Low) | Feb 4 (Current) |
| Gold (Spot) | $4,988 | $5,598 (+12.2%) | $4,402 (-11.7%) | $4,935 |
| SGX: GSD | S$577.50 | S$648.60 (+12.3%) | S$516.00 (-10.6%) | S$585.20 |
📉 Why the “Black Friday” Meltdown?
On Friday, January 30, the market hit a wall, wiping out over $15 trillion in paper value. Here’s why:
- The Fed Transition: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. While initially seen as a “hawk,” Warsh has recently hinted that AI-driven growth could allow for lower rates—but the “surprise” of the nomination caused an immediate spike in the US Dollar, which temporarily crushed gold.
- The “Full House” Problem: Gold and Silver had grown so fast in January that they took up “too much room” in major investment funds. This triggered automatic selling programs to rebalance portfolios.
- The Panic Button: As prices fell, many leveraged traders were forced to sell their holdings to cover losses (margin calls), turning a small dip into a giant slide.
US Market: The Tech Divide
The US market is currently a “Show Me” phase: Hardware giants are thriving, while others are being asked to prove their AI profits.
📊 US Snapshot (Jan 24 – Feb 3)
- S&P 500: ↔️ Stable (Holding firm at ~6,917 despite the noise).
- Nasdaq 100: 📉 Down 2.1% (Tech investors are getting pickier).
🍎 Apple’s “Staggering” Rebound
Apple silenced skeptics on January 29. Its iPhone 17 is a massive hit, particularly in China, where revenue surged 38% to $25.5 billion. Apple now has over 2.5 billion active devices globally, turning its high-margin services (like Apple Music and iCloud) into a record $30 billion quarterly engine.
🤖 The AI Reality Check
- Meta (Facebook): Investors are cheering because Meta proved that its $135 billion AI bet is already working. AI tools are making ads so efficient that they are already covering the costs of the new “Superintelligence Labs.”
- Microsoft: Even though they are growing, the stock dipped because investors are worried about how much they are spending on data centers compared to the speed of immediate returns.
Singapore: The Regional “Safe Haven”
While global markets were shaky, Singapore remained a pillar of strength, with the STI breaching the 4,900 mark for the first time in history on January 27.
🏦 The Banking Powerhouse
Our “Big Three” (DBS, OCBC, UOB) hit record highs. 星展银行 even touched the psychological S$60.00 mark. With dividend yields remaining strong at around 5%, global investors are treating Singapore like a high-growth “Safe Haven.”
🏗️ Industrial Growth
Micron’s $24 billion commitment to expand its Singapore facility has put a spotlight on our tech manufacturing. This decade-long expansion is a major win for local giants like Sembcorp 和 新科工程, which provide the vital power and infrastructure for these mega-projects.
China: The Policy “U-Turn”
China is currently in a tug-of-war between a slow economy and massive government support.
- The Property Pivot: In a major move, Beijing ended the strict debt rules for developers (the “Three Red Lines”). This sparked a relief rally in property stocks, pushing the 恒生指数 to a 4-year high.
- Resilient Factories: While official data looks slow, private-sector manufacturing showed a surprise expansion (50.3), signaling that smaller businesses are ramping up ahead of the Lunar New Year.
💡 The Long Game: Why ETFs Win Over Time
This period of volatility serves as a powerful reminder of why long-term investing is your best edge. While picking individual “winner” stocks like Apple can be rewarding, it also carries the risk of sharp dips if a single company underperforms.
The ETF Advantage: Instead of trying to find a needle in a haystack, why not just buy the haystack? By investing in 交易所交易基金 (ETF), you gain:
- Instant Diversification: One trade gives you a slice of hundreds of top companies (like the S&P 500 or the STI), shielding you from a crash in any single stock.
- Emotional Peace of Mind: ETFs smooth out the “peaks and troughs” of the market, making it much easier to stick to your plan without panicking during a “Flash Crash.”
- Consistency: When paired with a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, ETFs turn market volatility into your friend—allowing you to buy more when prices are low and less when they are high.
Final Takeaway: Stay disciplined, stay diversified, and stay focused on the years ahead, not the headlines of today.
| Product code | Product name | 1 year %* | 3 year %* | 5 year %* | 10 year %* | 10 year DCA + DRIP %* |
| AMEX: IVV | iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | 16.01% | 74.39% | 91.93% | 327.52% | 123% |
| AMEX: DYNF | iShares U.S. Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF | 18.30% | 96.36% | 106.95% | – | – |
| AMEX: BAI | iShares A.I Innovation and Tech Active ETF | 23.23% | – | – | – | – |
| AMEX: IYH | iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF | 5.42% | 20.14% | 35.60% | 170.68% | 86.94% |
| AMEX: IYF | iShares U.S Financials ETF | 10.55% | 64.83% | 99.91% | 280.37% | 107% |
| AMEX: GLD | SPDR® Gold Shares | 73.06% | 161.90% | 170.17% | 310.86% | 188% |
| SGX: GSD | SPDR® Gold Shares | 62.84% | 145.89% | – | – | – |
| SGX: O87 | SPDR® Gold Shares | 79.41% | 154.33% | 159.95% | 287.82% | – |
| SGX: CLR | Lion-Phillip S-REIT ETF | 16.88% | 4.8% | 1.55% | – | – |
| SGX: OVQ | Phillip SING 收益 ETF | 34.68% | 61.56% | 79.51% | – | – |
| SGX: LSS | Phillip-Nova MSCI Singapore Daily (2x) Leveraged Product | 24.36% | 64.83% | – | – | – |
| SGX: SSS | Phillip-Nova MSCI Singapore Daily (-1X) Inverse Product | -28.10% | -49.49% | – | – | – |
| SGX: CYC | ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index ETF | 5.19% | 6.04% | -1.21% | – | – |
| SGX: SCY | CSOP CSI STAR and CHINEXT 50 Index ETF | 61.77% | 26.66% | – | – | – |
| SGX: SHD | CSOP Huatai-PineBridge SSE Dividend Index ETF | -1.58% | 6.23% | – | – | – |
*DCA = Dollar cost averaging
*Assume DRIP (Dividend Reinvesting) for all returns
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