By Priyanka Sachdeva, Market Analyst for Phillip Nova
Gold prices have been constantly hovering just below the key threshold of $2000 per ounce mark after breaching it, in the previous week on the back of the ongoing Middle-Eastern crisis. Rebounding sharply from the low 1800’s level earlier this month, Gold proved its worth as a safe-haven asset under duress, yet again.
As of 12:20 pm on 26 October 2023, Gold’s Comex benchmark December futures contract was trading at $1998.65 per ounce slightly up by +0.18% despite an uptick in the US Dollar. The uncertainty over rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East is driving investors to shun risky assets and direct fund flow towards the yellow metal. Additionally, China’s gold consumption has recently increased significantly, thanks to its economic recovery and rising demand for the precious metal. The China Gold Association reported a 7.32% surge in the country’s gold consumption during the first three quarters of 2023.
Technically, a sustained uptrend over the $2010 mark will open the door for Gold prices to test previous highs. With Israel planning to escalate the attack on the Gaza Strip with a possible ground invasion, this could be the potential catalyst for Gold. Going forward Gold traders are highly likely to draw clues from the upcoming US quarter 3 GDP numbers as well as US core PCE prices for clues on the FED’s rate projections. The robust economic data from the US currently shields the growing economic weakness in Europe and continues to extend some optimism to the markets.
The US dollar index, which measures the value of USD against six other major currencies, has surged to 106.55, the highest level since last Friday, 21 October 2023. On Thursday, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond also increased, reaching 4.95%. The growing strength of the US Dollar and US Treasuries have put pressure on gold, as it is denominated in dollars, making it more expensive for holders. Therefore, it is important for gold traders to closely monitor both the Dollar and Treasuries, as their surge could limit the upside potential of the non-yielding yellow metal.
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