Exploring the Opportunities of Investing in the European Markets Through the Eurex Micro-Dax Futures – Part 2

18 Jul 2023

By Eric Lee, Sales Director, Phillip Nova

DAX Image 4

In my last article Exploring the Opportunities of Investing in the European Markets Through Eurex Micro-Dax Futures, I mentioned about the importance of understanding the component stocks in a stock index as that will help those of us trading the index. You can click on the link above to reference back to the article, which I had highlighted the 10 stocks with the highest weightage fpr the German stock index, Dax.

In this article, I would like to dig deeper and to look at the correlation these stocks have with the Dax. Below is the table showing the Top 10 Dax component stocks ranked by their weightage to the index and their correlation to the index over a period of 1 to 5 years. I’ve also included the correlations to the S&P500 and the EUR/USD pair for reference. One way traders look for trading ideas is via intermarket analysis. As such, it is good to pay attention to other markets, especially those with a strong correlation to the index we are trading with.

 

Correlation of DAX
Source: Timingsolution.com

I’ve highlighted Siemens AG in yellow on the correlation table, and we can see that it has the highest and most consistent correlation with the Dax index among the top 10 component stocks. I did not show it on the table but when I look at the 10 years correlation, Siemens AG continued to have a high 80+% correlation to the index.

Chart below is a visual reference to this relationship between DAX Index and Siemens AG over the past 30 years. This is good news for traders who want to perform fundamental analysis on the Dax index. Unlike individual stocks, it is not easy to get the fundamental data on a stock index. In this case, traders can analyse the valuations of Siemens AG and use it as a proxy to understand if Dax is Overweight or Underweight based on it.

Siemens Chart
Source: Tradingview.com

 

On Tuesday, 25 July 2023 at 7pm, I will be conducting a free webinar about Mastering Micro DAX Futures, and I will be sharing about how we can use Siemens’ valuations to look out for possible buy and sell setups for the Dax futures. Register for the webinar here.

For a limited time until Thursday, 31 August 2023, Phillip Nova is offering a zero-commission promotion for trading Micro-Dax futures. This presents a great opportunity for traders interested in Dax futures. 

 

Trade Micro-DAX® Futures and Micro-EURO STOXX 50® at 0 Commission*

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Value-Added Service from Eric Lee

My clients benefited from my services including investment advisories in unit trust and stocks, investment insights based on my personal knowledge and experiences while navigating the markets for the past 20 years.

Periodically, I will be send out market analysis to my clients, as well as alerting them of support and resistance levels for the technical indicators which I am utilising on a chart. Click on the button at the bottom if you would like to arrange for a One-to-One Coaching session to learn more about trading futures, forex, stocks and more, and how you can benefit from the services I provide.


 

Eric Lee is a Sales Director with Phillip Nova. With expertise in Futures, Forex, Stocks, and Unit Trust, Eric makes an all-rounded advisor. Make informed trading decisions without spending time combing through endless information as Eric readily provides clients with trade alerts and insights via WhatsApp. Over his years of experience, Eric developed systematic strategies in trading and investing. Book a complimentary coaching session below to leverage on his expertise as he imparts his knowledge to enhance your trading journey.

An Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) is a marketable security that is formed to track nearly anything, ranging from a specific index, sector, commodity, or increasingly, theme. They are most commonly used to track a basket of stocks, and can typically be accessed through the same channels as regular stocks. ETFs are typically separated into passively-managed ETFs that simply mirror the security they are tracking (e.g. the STI), and actively managed ones that attempt to deliver higher returns or specific investment objectives, often with a pre-specified theme in mind (e.g. ARK Invest’s Innovation ETF).

Why should I trade in ETF CFDs?

  • ETFs have been growing in popularity over the years. 2020 was the best year for ETFs yet, with global equity ETFs seeing more than $1T in inflows within a 12-month period. Using CFDs to gain exposure to ETFs allows for greater capital efficiency because only a portion of the contract value is required as margin to establish a position.
  • ETFs are particularly popular with investors seeking a relatively hassle-free investing experience, while desiring exposure to a range of specific and relatively understandable securities. Trading ETF CFDs brings greater convenience by eliminating the need for traders to hold multiple currencies in order to access global ETFs.
  • An investor wanting exposure to the post-pandemic economic recovery could open a position in the well-known SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), which tracks the performance of the S&P 500. Another investor that may be convinced of the future importance of Environmental, Social and Governance concerns (ESG) may find the increasing selection of ESG-themed ETFs that track a basket of high ESG-rating companies to be a good investment, rather than cherry-picking individual equities by hand. ETF CFDs can act as a powerful tool for traders can profit from both directions of the market by taking on long or short positions.

A look at two ETF CFDs we offer:

1) Has the ARKK been sunk?

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) ARKK is an actively managed ETF by ARK Invest that invests in a range of companies based on their innovative and industry-disrupting potential. ARKK’s largest holdings are in companies such as Tesla, Square, and Zoom. ARKK is down around -33% from peaking on 12th Feb and is currently in the red for the year to date as the market experiences a risk-off outflow of funds. Superstar fund manager Cathie Wood has however been consistently doubling down on her bets, buying even more shares in growth stocks that are going through their own tumultuous periods such as DraftKings, Peloton, Teladoc, and Tesla. In her view, ARKK is playing the long game, and remains steadfastly convinced in the long-term prospects of these growth stocks beyond this current bout of volatility. Similarly on outflows, investors are still betting big on ARKK as ARK Invest has only lost about $1.2B in assets this year across all its six funds, compared to seeing an inflow of $15.1B during the same period. Recently, investors have been nervously eyeing ARKK’s basket of tech stocks as their future earnings potential remain vulnerable to erosion through high inflation – the dominant concern of the market in recent weeks. As commodities – the major contributor to the recent heightened inflation fears – drops sharply from record highs, are investor concerns over hyperinflation overblown?

2) Searching for exposure to Asian equities?

iShares MSCI Asia ex Japan ETF (AAXJ) The AAXJ is currently trading -10.6% adrift of all-time highs seen in February, giving up gains in tandem with an Asia-wide equity sell-off at the time. Given that slightly over 40% of the ETF’s holdings are based in China, the ongoing tumult seen in Chinese equities currently have carried over nearly perfectly in the AAXJ, as Chinese investors take a breather after the stellar gains made over the past year. Looking ahead, Asia – and particularly China, is steaming ahead with its economic recovery. China is widely expected to be one of the best-performing major economies this year, providing a major boost to the outlook for corporate earnings. As the rest of Asia and the world gradually opens up their own economies, AAXJ is likely to again benefit from strong Asian outperformance amidst a strengthening trade outlook.

CFD is available for trading on Phillip MetaTrader 5 (MT5).

Features of trading CFD:

  • Trade in both the bull and the bear markets
    The ability to enter a long and/or short position allow traders to take advantage of both rising and falling markets.
  • Smaller barrier to entry
    Flexible and smaller contract sizes. This means that traders will be able to enter into a contract with a modest amount of capital.
  • No expiration date or risk of delivery
    Unlike futures which commonly have a fixed expiration date, CFD allows traders to perpetually hold the position(s). CFD is cash settled, no need to worry about the delivery of the underlying asset.

 

Benefits of using Phillip MT5:

Trade at zero commission on a dynamic platform that offers low spreads. Integrated with Autochartist and Trading Central Indicators, and available on mobile, web and desktop app, you will never miss a trading opportunity with Phillip MT5.

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