Breaking down the latest trends and catalysts across Gold & Silver, the US, Singapore, and China markets.
๐ Gold & Silver: A Wild Ride for the Record Books
Between January 24 and February 4, 2026, the precious metals market went on a historic roller coaster. After reaching “never-before-seen” highs, both gold and silver suffered a sudden “Flash Crash” before showing signs of a steady recovery.
๐ Performance at a Glance
| Product | Jan 24 (Starting) | Jan 29 (Peak) | Feb 2 (Crash Low) | Feb 4 (Current) |
| Gold (Spot) | $4,988 | $5,598 (+12.2%) | $4,402 (-11.7%) | $4,935 |
| SGX: GSD | S$577.50 | S$648.60 (+12.3%) | S$516.00 (-10.6%) | S$585.20 |
๐ Why the “Black Friday” Meltdown?
On Friday, January 30, the market hit a wall, wiping out over $15 trillion in paper value. Hereโs why:
- The Fed Transition: President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. While initially seen as a “hawk,” Warsh has recently hinted that AI-driven growth could allow for lower ratesโbut the “surprise” of the nomination caused an immediate spike in the US Dollar, which temporarily crushed gold.
- The “Full House” Problem: Gold and Silver had grown so fast in January that they took up “too much room” in major investment funds. This triggered automatic selling programs to rebalance portfolios.
- The Panic Button: As prices fell, many leveraged traders were forced to sell their holdings to cover losses (margin calls), turning a small dip into a giant slide.
US Market: The Tech Divide
The US market is currently a “Show Me” phase: Hardware giants are thriving, while others are being asked to prove their AI profits.
๐ US Snapshot (Jan 24 โ Feb 3)
- S&P 500: โ๏ธ Stable (Holding firm at ~6,917 despite the noise).
- Nasdaq 100: ๐ Down 2.1% (Tech investors are getting pickier).
๐ Appleโs “Staggering” Rebound
Apple silenced skeptics on January 29. Its iPhone 17 is a massive hit, particularly in China, where revenue surged 38% to $25.5 billion. Apple now has over 2.5 billion active devices globally, turning its high-margin services (like Apple Music and iCloud) into a record $30 billion quarterly engine.
๐ค The AI Reality Check
- Meta (Facebook): Investors are cheering because Meta proved that its $135 billion AI bet is already working. AI tools are making ads so efficient that they are already covering the costs of the new “Superintelligence Labs.”
- Microsoft: Even though they are growing, the stock dipped because investors are worried about how much they are spending on data centers compared to the speed of immediate returns.
Singapore: The Regional “Safe Haven”
While global markets were shaky, Singapore remained a pillar of strength, with the STI breaching the 4,900 mark for the first time in history on January 27.
๐ฆ The Banking Powerhouse
Our “Big Three” (DBS, OCBC, UOB) hit record highs. DBS even touched the psychological S$60.00 mark. With dividend yields remaining strong at around 5%, global investors are treating Singapore like a high-growth “Safe Haven.”
๐๏ธ Industrial Growth
Micronโs $24 billion commitment to expand its Singapore facility has put a spotlight on our tech manufacturing. This decade-long expansion is a major win for local giants like Sembcorp and ST Engineering, which provide the vital power and infrastructure for these mega-projects.
China: The Policy “U-Turn”
China is currently in a tug-of-war between a slow economy and massive government support.
- The Property Pivot: In a major move, Beijing ended the strict debt rules for developers (the “Three Red Lines”). This sparked a relief rally in property stocks, pushing the Hang Seng Index to a 4-year high.
- Resilient Factories: While official data looks slow, private-sector manufacturing showed a surprise expansion (50.3), signaling that smaller businesses are ramping up ahead of the Lunar New Year.
๐ก The Long Game: Why ETFs Win Over Time
This period of volatility serves as a powerful reminder of why long-term investing is your best edge. While picking individual “winner” stocks like Apple can be rewarding, it also carries the risk of sharp dips if a single company underperforms.
The ETF Advantage: Instead of trying to find a needle in a haystack, why not just buy the haystack? By investing in Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), you gain:
- Instant Diversification: One trade gives you a slice of hundreds of top companies (like the S&P 500 or the STI), shielding you from a crash in any single stock.
- Emotional Peace of Mind: ETFs smooth out the “peaks and troughs” of the market, making it much easier to stick to your plan without panicking during a “Flash Crash.”
- Consistency: When paired with a Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy, ETFs turn market volatility into your friendโallowing you to buy more when prices are low and less when they are high.
Final Takeaway: Stay disciplined, stay diversified, and stay focused on the years ahead, not the headlines of today.
| Product code | Product name | 1 year %* | 3 year %* | 5 year %* | 10 year %* | 10 year DCA + DRIP %* |
| AMEX: IVV | iShares Core S&P 500 ETF | 16.01% | 74.39% | 91.93% | 327.52% | 123% |
| AMEX: DYNF | iShares U.S. Equity Factor Rotation Active ETF | 18.30% | 96.36% | 106.95% | – | – |
| AMEX: BAI | iShares A.I Innovation and Tech Active ETF | 23.23% | – | – | – | – |
| AMEX: IYH | iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF | 5.42% | 20.14% | 35.60% | 170.68% | 86.94% |
| AMEX: IYF | iShares U.S Financials ETF | 10.55% | 64.83% | 99.91% | 280.37% | 107% |
| AMEX: GLD | SPDRยฎ Gold Shares | 73.06% | 161.90% | 170.17% | 310.86% | 188% |
| SGX: GSD | SPDRยฎ Gold Shares | 62.84% | 145.89% | – | – | – |
| SGX: O87 | SPDRยฎ Gold Shares | 79.41% | 154.33% | 159.95% | 287.82% | – |
| SGX: CLR | Lion-Phillip S-REIT ETF | 16.88% | 4.8% | 1.55% | – | – |
| SGX: OVQ | Phillip SING Income ETF | 34.68% | 61.56% | 79.51% | – | – |
| SGX: LSS | Phillip-Nova MSCI Singapore Daily (2x) Leveraged Product | 24.36% | 64.83% | – | – | – |
| SGX: SSS | Phillip-Nova MSCI Singapore Daily (-1X) Inverse Product | -28.10% | -49.49% | – | – | – |
| SGX: CYC | ICBC CSOP FTSE Chinese Government Bond Index ETF | 5.19% | 6.04% | -1.21% | – | – |
| SGX: SCY | CSOP CSI STAR and CHINEXT 50 Index ETF | 61.77% | 26.66% | – | – | – |
| SGX: SHD | CSOP Huatai-PineBridge SSE Dividend Index ETF | -1.58% | 6.23% | – | – | – |
*DCA = Dollar cost averaging
*Assume DRIP (Dividend Reinvesting) for all returns
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